VARiM

Football Predictions Today

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Daily football predictions based on Poisson statistical model — probability analysis, value edge vs bookmaker odds, and 65%+ accuracy rate across top European leagues.

Best Bet Today
FIFA World CupFri, 12 Jun ·
South Korea
vs
Czech Republic
Over 1.5
70% confidence · fair odds 1.42
Full Analysis →
FIFA World Cup
· 12 Jun
South Korea
Czech Republic
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 12 Jun
Canada
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 14 Jun
Australia
Türkiye
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 14 Jun
Germany
Curaçao
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 14 Jun
Netherlands
Japan
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 14 Jun
Ivory Coast
Ecuador
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 15 Jun
Sweden
Tunisia
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 15 Jun
Spain
Cape Verde Islands
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 15 Jun
Belgium
Egypt
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 15 Jun
Saudi Arabia
Uruguay
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 16 Jun
Iran
New Zealand
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 16 Jun
France
Senegal
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 16 Jun
Iraq
Norway
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 17 Jun
Argentina
Algeria
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 17 Jun
Austria
Jordan
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 17 Jun
Portugal
Congo DR
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 17 Jun
England
Croatia
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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FIFA World Cup
· 17 Jun
Ghana
Panama
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
70%
Fair odds
1.42
Model: 70% vs market implied 65%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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Friendlies
· 3 Jun
Haiti
New Zealand
Over 1.5
Good confidence
Probability
66%
Fair odds
1.51
Model: 66% vs market implied 62%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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Friendlies
· 3 Jun
Philippines
Guam
Over 1.5
Good confidence
Probability
66%
Fair odds
1.51
Model: 66% vs market implied 62%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

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Value bets based on Poisson model (prob ≥55%). Always verify odds at bookmaker. Gamble responsibly.

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Predictions for top teams

Get our Poisson-model predictions for the next match of any club or national team.

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How Our Football Predictions Work

Every prediction is calculated using the Poisson distribution model — a mathematical approach that estimates goal probabilities based on team attack and defense ratings from the last 10 matches. We calculate home win, draw, and away win probabilities for every fixture, then compare against bookmaker odds to find value bets.

Leagues We Cover

We publish daily predictions for the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, and Champions League. Each league page shows upcoming fixtures with full probability breakdowns and value edge scores.

Understanding Value Edge

Value edge measures how much our predicted probability exceeds the bookmaker's implied probability. A positive value edge (shown in green) indicates the bookmaker may have underpriced the outcome — a statistically favourable bet over the long term.