1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Unión Santa Fe an expected 1.5 goals and Estudiantes de La Plata an expected 0.8 goals. Unión Santa Fe have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Estudiantes de La Plata at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15%
1:1
12%
2:0
11.4%
0:0
9.9%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
7.9%
3:0
5.7%
1:2
4.8%
3:1
4.6%
2:2
3.6%
0:2
3.1%
4:0
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Unión Santa Fe Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Unión Santa Fe | Estudiantes de La Plata | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 8 |
| 25 | Points | 21 |
| 38% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
Unión Santa Fe at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Estudiantes de La Plata Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Unión Santa Fe
W
D
Estudiantes de La Plata
L
W
W
D
