1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.56
xG Away
1.81
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santa Clara an expected 0.6 goals and Benfica an expected 1.8 goals. Santa Clara have a 11% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Benfica at 68%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
17%
0:2
15.4%
1:1
9.4%
0:0
9.4%
0:3
9.3%
1:2
8.6%
1:0
5.2%
1:3
5.2%
0:4
4.2%
2:1
2.6%
2:2
2.4%
1:4
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Benfica Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| Santa Clara | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 3 |
| 36 | Points | 80 |
| 26% | Win % | 68% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.18 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Santa Clara at Home
W4
D1
L0
(5 games)
Benfica Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Santa Clara
D
W
W
W
W
Benfica
L
W
D
W
