1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sevilla FC an expected 1.3 goals and Osasuna an expected 1.3 goals. Sevilla FC have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Osasuna at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
1:0
10.1%
0:1
10%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
8%
0:0
7.9%
2:0
6.5%
0:2
6.3%
2:2
5.1%
3:1
3.5%
1:3
3.4%
3:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sevilla FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Sevilla FC | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 17 |
| 43 | Points | 42 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Sevilla FC at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Osasuna Away
W0
D0
L4
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sevilla FC
W
W
Osasuna
L
L
L
L
