1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.69
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Los Angeles FC an expected 2.7 goals and Los Angeles Galaxy an expected 1.0 goals. Los Angeles FC have a 73% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and Los Angeles Galaxy at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
9.1%
2:1
9%
3:0
8.2%
3:1
8.1%
1:0
6.8%
1:1
6.7%
4:0
5.5%
4:1
5.4%
2:2
4.5%
3:2
4%
1:2
3.3%
4:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Los Angeles FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 73% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.37 |
| Market Odds | 1.46 |
Team Comparison
| Los Angeles FC | Los Angeles Galaxy | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 14 |
| 60 | Points | 30 |
| 50% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.94 |
Venue Form
Los Angeles FC at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Los Angeles Galaxy Away
W2
D1
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Los Angeles FC
W
L
D
L
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
L
L
W
L
