Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Mon, 26 Oct 2026 · Liga MX
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.97
xG Away 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Club Tijuana an expected 2.0 goals and Santos Laguna an expected 0.8 goals. Club Tijuana have a 65% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Santos Laguna at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 12.4%
2:0 12.2%
1:1 9.9%
2:1 9.7%
3:0 8%
3:1 6.4%
0:0 6.3%
0:1 5%
4:0 4%
1:2 3.9%
2:2 3.9%
4:1 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Club Tijuana Win
Probability 65%
Predicted Odds 1.54
Market Odds 1.64

Team Comparison

Club Tijuana Santos Laguna
9 League Position 18
23 Points 12
29% Win % 18%
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.24

Venue Form

Club Tijuana at Home
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate
Santos Laguna Away
W1 D0 L3 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

Club Tijuana
L L W W
Santos Laguna
W L L L