Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Mon, 26 Oct 2026 · HNL
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1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Match Stats & Prediction

xG Home 0.88
xG Away 1.64
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Istra 1961 an expected 0.9 goals and HNK Hajduk Split an expected 1.6 goals. Istra 1961 have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and HNK Hajduk Split at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1 (~13% probability). Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

2 HNK Hajduk Split
55% confidence
Fair odds: 1.81

Team Comparison

Istra 1961 HNK Hajduk Split
6 League Position 2
43 Points 68
33% Win % 56%
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.2%
1:1 11.6%
0:2 10.8%
1:2 9.5%
0:0 8.1%
1:0 7.1%
0:3 5.9%
1:3 5.2%
2:1 5.1%
2:2 4.2%
2:0 3.1%
0:4 2.4%