1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.84
xG Away
1.52
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Querétaro an expected 0.8 goals and Cruz Azul an expected 1.5 goals. Querétaro have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Cruz Azul at 54%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
14.4%
1:1
12%
0:2
11%
0:0
9.5%
1:2
9.2%
1:0
7.9%
0:3
5.6%
2:1
5%
1:3
4.7%
2:2
3.8%
2:0
3.3%
0:4
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Querétaro | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 3 |
| 20 | Points | 33 |
| 24% | Win % | 53% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Querétaro at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Cruz Azul Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Querétaro
D
L
D
Cruz Azul
L
W
W
D
