How are Premier League predictions generated?

VARiM uses the Poisson distribution model — a statistical approach that analyses each team's historical goal-scoring and conceding rates to calculate the probability of every possible scoreline in a Premier League match.

Are the Premier League predictions free?

Yes, all Premier League predictions on VARiM are completely free. You can also track prediction accuracy over time at varim.net/predictions/accuracy/.

What does the "value edge" percentage mean?

Value edge shows how much better our model's implied probability is compared to the bookmaker's implied probability. A positive value edge means the bet is statistically underpriced by the market.

How often are Premier League predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed automatically as new fixtures are scheduled. For upcoming matches the model updates daily; for today's matches predictions lock at kick-off time.

Premier League Predictions

Statistical predictions for upcoming Premier League matches — win probability, value edge analysis, and best picks.

No upcoming matches found for the next 4 days.

Standings

#	Team	MP	P
1	Arsenal FC	34	73
2	Manchester City FC	33	70
3	Manchester United FC	34	61
4	Liverpool FC	34	58
5	Aston Villa FC	34	58
6	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	34	50
7	AFC Bournemouth	34	49
8	Chelsea FC	34	48