VARiM

Football Predictions Today

18+ Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. Gambling can be addictive — please play responsibly. BeGambleAware  •  GamStop  •  Bookmaker links on this page are affiliate links — we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.

Daily football predictions based on Poisson statistical model — probability analysis, value edge vs bookmaker odds, and 65%+ accuracy rate across top European leagues.

Best Bet Today
UEFA Nations LeagueFri, 25 Sep ·
Italy
vs
Belgium
Over 1.5
94% confidence · fair odds 1.06
Full Analysis →
UEFA Nations League
· 25 Sep
Italy
Belgium
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
94%
Fair odds
1.06
Model: 94% vs market implied 88%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

18+ | Bet responsibly

UEFA Nations League
· 24 Sep
Portugal
Wales
Home Win
High confidence
Probability
92%
Fair odds
1.09
Model: 92% vs market implied 85%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

UEFA Nations League
· 25 Sep
Sweden
Romania
Home Win
High confidence
Probability
91%
Fair odds
1.09
Model: 91% vs market implied 85%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

UEFA Nations League
· 24 Sep
Austria
Israel
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
91%
Fair odds
1.1
Model: 91% vs market implied 85%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

UEFA Nations League
· 25 Sep
Türkiye
France
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
91%
Fair odds
1.1
Model: 91% vs market implied 85%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

UEFA Nations League
· 24 Sep
Norway
Denmark
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
91%
Fair odds
1.1
Model: 91% vs market implied 85%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Major League Soccer
· 12 Sep
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
90%
Fair odds
1.11
Model: 90% vs market implied 84%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Saudi Pro League
· 12 Sep
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Nassr
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
90%
Fair odds
1.11
Model: 90% vs market implied 84%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Liga MX
· 11 Sep
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
León FC
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
89%
Fair odds
1.12
Model: 89% vs market implied 83%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Saudi Pro League
· 11 Sep
Al-Qadisiyah
Al-Ettifaq
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
89%
Fair odds
1.13
Model: 89% vs market implied 82%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Ligue 1
· 12 Sep
Strasbourg
Monaco
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
88%
Fair odds
1.13
Model: 88% vs market implied 82%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Super League
· 12 Sep
FC Thun
Grasshoppers
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
88%
Fair odds
1.13
Model: 88% vs market implied 82%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Bundesliga
· 12 Sep
1899 Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
88%
Fair odds
1.14
Model: 88% vs market implied 82%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Ligue 1
· 11 Sep
Rennes FC
Marseille
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
87%
Fair odds
1.15
Model: 87% vs market implied 81%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

UEFA Nations League
· 25 Sep
Poland
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
87%
Fair odds
1.16
Model: 87% vs market implied 80%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Bundesliga
· 12 Sep
FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
84%
Fair odds
1.19
Model: 84% vs market implied 78%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Super League 1
· 12 Sep
Olympiakos Piraeus
OFI Crete
Home Win
High confidence
Probability
84%
Fair odds
1.2
Model: 84% vs market implied 78%
Full Analysis Bet on 1win →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Bundesliga
· 12 Sep
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
84%
Fair odds
1.2
Model: 84% vs market implied 78%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Superliga
· 11 Sep
FC Copenhagen
AC Horsens
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
83%
Fair odds
1.2
Model: 83% vs market implied 78%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Super League
· 12 Sep
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
Over 1.5
High confidence
Probability
83%
Fair odds
1.2
Model: 83% vs market implied 78%
Full Analysis Bet on Paripesa →

18+ | Bet responsibly

Value bets based on Poisson model (prob ≥55%). Always verify odds at bookmaker. Gamble responsibly.

Upcoming Predictions

Browse the next 20 scheduled fixtures — full mathematical analysis on the prediction page and live page on the match page.

Browse predictions by league

Premier League La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1 Champions League Europa League Championship Eredivisie Primeira Liga Scottish Premiership Süper Lig Jupiler Pro League Ekstraklasa MLS Liga MX Brasileirão Liga Profesional (ARG) J1 League World Cup 2026 UEFA Qualifiers CONMEBOL Qualifiers Copa America AFCON

Predictions for top teams

Get our Poisson-model predictions for the next match of any club or national team.

Arsenal Chelsea Liverpool Manchester United Manchester City Tottenham Real Madrid Barcelona Atlético Madrid Bayern Munich Borussia Dortmund Bayer Leverkusen Juventus Inter AC Milan Napoli PSG Marseille Benfica Porto Ajax Celtic Galatasaray Fenerbahçe Brazil Argentina France Germany England Spain Portugal Italy

Explore VARiM

World Cup 2026 PredictionsGroup tables, fixtures and model picksToday's MatchesLive scores, results and match previewsLeaderboardTop tipsters by prediction accuracyLive ScoresReal-time match scores and resultsTransfer NewsLatest confirmed signings and rumours

How Our Football Predictions Work

Every prediction is calculated using the Poisson distribution model — a mathematical approach that estimates goal probabilities based on team attack and defense ratings from the last 10 matches. We calculate home win, draw, and away win probabilities for every fixture, then compare against bookmaker odds to find value bets.

Leagues We Cover

We publish daily predictions for the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, and Champions League. Each league page shows upcoming fixtures with full probability breakdowns and value edge scores.

Understanding Value Edge

Value edge measures how much our predicted probability exceeds the bookmaker's implied probability. A positive value edge (shown in green) indicates the bookmaker may have underpriced the outcome — a statistically favourable bet over the long term.