Club América vs Pachuca Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Mon, 26 Oct 2026 · Liga MX
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.04
xG Away 0.99
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
BTTS 41%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Club América an expected 1.0 goals and Pachuca an expected 1.0 goals. Club América have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Pachuca at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.6%
1:1 13.5%
0:0 13.1%
0:1 13%
2:0 7.1%
2:1 7%
1:2 6.7%
0:2 6.5%
2:2 3.5%
3:0 2.4%
3:1 2.4%
1:3 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Club América Win
Probability 36%
Predicted Odds 2.78
Market Odds 2.96

Team Comparison

Club América Pachuca
8 League Position 4
25 Points 31
41% Win % 53%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Club América at Home
W1 D2 L2 (5 games)
20% win rate
Pachuca Away
W4 D0 L3 (7 games)
57% win rate

Recent Form

Club América
D D L W L
Pachuca
L W W L W