1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.18
xG Away
0.58
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS
30%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Yokohama F. Marinos an expected 1.2 goals and Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.6 goals. Yokohama F. Marinos have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Tokyo Verdy at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
20.3%
0:0
17.3%
2:0
12%
1:1
11.8%
0:1
10%
2:1
6.9%
3:0
4.7%
1:2
3.4%
0:2
2.9%
3:1
2.7%
2:2
2%
4:0
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Yokohama F. Marinos Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Yokohama F. Marinos | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 17 |
| 43 | Points | 43 |
| 32% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.61 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
Venue Form
Yokohama F. Marinos at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Tokyo Verdy Away
W0
D3
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Yokohama F. Marinos
W
W
D
L
Tokyo Verdy
L
D
D
D
L
