1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
0.61
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima an expected 1.5 goals and Shimizu S-Pulse an expected 0.6 goals. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Shimizu S-Pulse at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
18.3%
2:0
13.4%
0:0
12.5%
1:1
11.3%
2:1
8.2%
0:1
7.7%
3:0
6.5%
3:1
4%
1:2
3.5%
2:2
2.5%
4:0
2.4%
0:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Shimizu S-Pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 14 |
| 68 | Points | 44 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima at Home
W5
D1
L0
(6 games)
Shimizu S-Pulse Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
W
W
D
W
Shimizu S-Pulse
L
L
L
W
