1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
0.92
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vissel Kobe an expected 1.1 goals and Machida Zelvia an expected 0.9 goals. Vissel Kobe have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Machida Zelvia at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.6%
1:1
13.4%
0:0
13.4%
0:1
12.3%
2:0
8%
2:1
7.3%
1:2
6.2%
0:2
5.7%
2:2
3.4%
3:0
2.9%
3:1
2.7%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vissel Kobe Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Vissel Kobe | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 6 |
| 64 | Points | 60 |
| 47% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Vissel Kobe at Home
W4
D1
L1
(6 games)
Machida Zelvia Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Vissel Kobe
D
W
W
W
W
Machida Zelvia
D
W
D
W
