Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.23
xG Away 0.99
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashima an expected 1.2 goals and Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.0 goals. Kashima have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Kashiwa Reysol at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.3%
1:1 13.2%
0:0 10.8%
0:1 10.7%
2:0 8.2%
2:1 8.1%
1:2 6.6%
0:2 5.3%
2:2 4%
3:0 3.4%
3:1 3.3%
1:3 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Kashima Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38
Market Odds 2.53

Team Comparison

Kashima Kashiwa Reysol
1 League Position 2
76 Points 75
61% Win % 55%
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89

Venue Form

Kashima at Home
W4 D0 L2 (6 games)
67% win rate
Kashiwa Reysol Away
W4 D0 L2 (6 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Kashima
L L W W W
Kashiwa Reysol
W W W W L