1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kashima an expected 1.2 goals and Kashiwa Reysol an expected 1.0 goals. Kashima have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Kashiwa Reysol at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.3%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
10.8%
0:1
10.7%
2:0
8.2%
2:1
8.1%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
5.3%
2:2
4%
3:0
3.4%
3:1
3.3%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kashima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 76 | Points | 75 |
| 61% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
Venue Form
Kashima at Home
W4
D0
L2
(6 games)
Kashiwa Reysol Away
W4
D0
L2
(6 games)
Recent Form
Kashima
L
L
W
W
W
Kashiwa Reysol
W
W
W
W
L