1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.55
xG Away
0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
BTTS
22%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.5 goals and Avispa Fukuoka an expected 0.7 goals. Tokyo Verdy have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 40%, and Avispa Fukuoka at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 86%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
27.5%
0:1
20.5%
1:0
15%
1:1
11.2%
0:2
7.6%
1:2
4.2%
2:0
4.1%
2:1
3%
0:3
1.9%
2:2
1.1%
1:3
1%
3:0
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Draw |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Tokyo Verdy | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 12 |
| 43 | Points | 48 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 0.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Tokyo Verdy at Home
W4
D1
L1
(6 games)
Avispa Fukuoka Away
W2
D1
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Tokyo Verdy
W
D
L
W
W
Avispa Fukuoka
L
L
W
D
L