Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction

0 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · J1 League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.55
xG Away 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
BTTS 22%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.5 goals and Avispa Fukuoka an expected 0.7 goals. Tokyo Verdy have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 40%, and Avispa Fukuoka at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 86%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:0 27.5%
0:1 20.5%
1:0 15%
1:1 11.2%
0:2 7.6%
1:2 4.2%
2:0 4.1%
2:1 3%
0:3 1.9%
2:2 1.1%
1:3 1%
3:0 0.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Draw
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5
Market Odds 2.66

Team Comparison

Tokyo Verdy Avispa Fukuoka
17 League Position 12
43 Points 48
29% Win % 32%
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Tokyo Verdy at Home
W4 D1 L1 (6 games)
67% win rate
Avispa Fukuoka Away
W2 D1 L3 (6 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Tokyo Verdy
W D L W W
Avispa Fukuoka
L L W D L