1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
1.82
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gamba Osaka an expected 1.3 goals and Kyoto Sanga an expected 1.8 goals. Gamba Osaka have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Kyoto Sanga at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
1:2
9.5%
0:1
7.8%
0:2
7.2%
2:1
6.9%
2:2
6.3%
1:3
5.8%
1:0
5.7%
0:3
4.3%
0:0
4.3%
2:3
3.8%
2:0
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kyoto Sanga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Gamba Osaka | Kyoto Sanga | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 3 |
| 57 | Points | 68 |
| 45% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Gamba Osaka at Home
W1
D2
L4
(7 games)
Kyoto Sanga Away
W2
D2
L4
(8 games)
Recent Form
Gamba Osaka
D
L
L
D
L
Kyoto Sanga
D
W
L
W
L
