1
68%
Home Win
1.47
X
18%
Draw
5.65
2
14%
Away Win
7.06
xG Home
2.40
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Villarreal an expected 2.4 goals and Sevilla FC an expected 1.0 goals. Villarreal have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Sevilla FC at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.6%
2:0
9.5%
1:1
8%
1:0
8%
3:1
7.7%
3:0
7.6%
2:2
4.8%
4:1
4.6%
4:0
4.6%
1:2
4%
3:2
3.9%
0:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Villarreal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| Villarreal | Sevilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 13 |
| 72 | Points | 43 |
| 58% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Villarreal at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Sevilla FC Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Villarreal
L
L
W
W
Sevilla FC
D
W
L
L
W
Head to Head
Villarreal
–
Sevilla FC
Sevilla FC
1 : 2
Villarreal
W
Villarreal
4 : 2
Sevilla FC
W
