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Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 15:15 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Espanyol
  • Villarreal 0–1 Espanyol
  • Racing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
  • Espanyol 0–1 Atlético Madrid
  • Espanyol 1–3 Elche
  • Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol
Deportivo La Coruña
  • Deportivo La Coruña 2–1 Osasuna
  • Auriense 0–0 Deportivo La Coruña
  • Atlético Madrid 1–0 Deportivo La Coruña
  • Deportivo La Coruña 1–1 Levante
  • Deportivo La Coruña 1–1 Real Betis
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Espanyol 11 · Deportivo La Coruña 11. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Espanyol 38% · 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.08
Model goal expectation · 2 1.07
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
BTTS 43%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Espanyol 1.08 · Deportivo La Coruña 1.07.
1 36% · X 30% · 2 35%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.5%
1:0 12.6%
0:1 12.5%
0:0 11.7%
2:1 7.3%
1:2 7.2%
2:0 6.8%
0:2 6.7%
2:2 3.9%
3:1 2.6%
1:3 2.6%
3:0 2.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Espanyol Win
Probability 36%
Predicted Odds 2.78

Team Comparison

Espanyol Deportivo La Coruña
14 League Position 8
11 Points 14
27% Win % 27%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27

Venue Form

Espanyol at Home
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate
Deportivo La Coruña Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Espanyol
W L L L L
Deportivo La Coruña
W D L D D

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.