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Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona — Prediction

Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Barcelona Barcelona

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Atlético Madrid
  • Atlético Madrid 0–2 Bayern Munich
  • Levante 0–2 Atlético Madrid
  • Atlético Madrid 1–0 Deportivo La Coruña
  • Espanyol 0–1 Atlético Madrid
  • Atlético Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid
Barcelona
  • Barcelona 3–0 Aston Villa
  • Barcelona 6–1 Alavés
  • Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
  • Real Betis 2–5 Barcelona
  • Sevilla FC 1–3 Barcelona
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Atlético Madrid 11 · Barcelona 11. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Barcelona 65% · 2026-11-07 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.57
Model goal expectation · 2 1.87
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
BTTS 67%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Atlético Madrid 1.57 · Barcelona 1.87.
1 33% · X 22% · 2 45%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 9.4%
1:2 8.8%
2:1 7.4%
2:2 6.9%
0:1 6%
0:2 5.6%
1:3 5.5%
1:0 5%
2:3 4.3%
2:0 3.9%
3:1 3.9%
3:2 3.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome Barcelona Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

Atlético Madrid Barcelona
2 League Position 1
28 Points 30
82% Win % 91%
2 Avg Goals Scored 4.18
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09

Venue Form

Atlético Madrid at Home
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate
Barcelona Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Atlético Madrid
L W W W W
Barcelona
W W L W W

More La Liga Predictions

Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 36%
Malaga vs Racing Santander
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 43%
Osasuna vs Athletic Club
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 62%
Valencia vs Real Madrid
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 81%
Celta de Vigo vs Levante
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 1 · 46%

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A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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