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Osasuna vs Athletic Club — Prediction

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Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Osasuna
  • Deportivo La Coruña 2–1 Osasuna
  • Atletico Calatayud 0–6 Osasuna
  • Sevilla FC 2–0 Osasuna
  • Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander
  • Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
  • Athletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad
  • Prat 0–0 Athletic Club
  • Athletic Club 4–0 Getafe
  • Valencia 0–0 Athletic Club
  • Athletic Club 0–0 Alavés
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Osasuna 11 · Athletic Club 10. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Athletic Club 40% · 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.72
Model goal expectation · 2 1.72
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 42%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Osasuna 0.72 · Athletic Club 1.72.
1 15% · X 23% · 2 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 15%
0:2 12.9%
1:1 10.8%
1:2 9.3%
0:0 8.7%
0:3 7.4%
1:0 6.3%
1:3 5.3%
2:1 3.9%
2:2 3.3%
0:4 3.2%
1:4 2.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Athletic Club Win
Probability 62%
Predicted Odds 1.61

Team Comparison

Osasuna Athletic Club
15 League Position 7
11 Points 15
27% Win % 40%
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Osasuna at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Athletic Club Away
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Osasuna
L W L W D
Athletic Club
W D W D D

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.