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Valencia vs Real Madrid — Prediction

Valencia Valencia
0 – 2
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Real Madrid Real Madrid

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Valencia
  • Elche 0–1 Valencia
  • Valencia 1–2 Villarreal
  • Valencia 0–0 Athletic Club
  • Valencia 1–1 Real Sociedad
  • Alavés 0–1 Valencia
Real Madrid
  • AEK Athens FC 2–3 Real Madrid
  • Racing Santander 0–3 Real Madrid
  • Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla FC
  • Atlético Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Valencia 11 · Real Madrid 11. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Real Madrid 71% · 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.47
Model goal expectation · 2 2.42
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
BTTS 34%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Valencia 0.47 · Real Madrid 2.42.
1 5% · X 14% · 2 81%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:2 16.2%
0:1 13.4%
0:3 13.1%
0:4 7.9%
1:2 7.7%
1:1 6.4%
1:3 6.2%
0:0 5.5%
1:4 3.8%
1:0 2.6%
2:2 1.8%
2:1 1.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Real Madrid Win
Probability 81%
Predicted Odds 1.23

Team Comparison

Valencia Real Madrid
19 League Position 3
9 Points 27
18% Win % 82%
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 2.55
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91

Venue Form

Valencia at Home
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate
Real Madrid Away
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate

Recent Form

Valencia
W L D D W
Real Madrid
W W W W L

More La Liga Predictions

Sevilla FC vs Alavés
Fri 06 Nov Tip: 1 · 44%
Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 36%
Malaga vs Racing Santander
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 43%
Osasuna vs Athletic Club
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 62%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.