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Malaga vs Racing Santander — Prediction

Malaga Malaga
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Racing Santander Racing Santander

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Malaga
  • Real Betis 2–1 Malaga
  • Alavés 1–1 Malaga
  • Malaga 2–5 Real Sociedad
  • Getafe 1–0 Malaga
  • Celta de Vigo 1–1 Malaga
Racing Santander
  • Racing Santander 0–3 Real Madrid
  • Ribadesella Cf 0–0 Racing Santander
  • Racing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
  • Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander
  • Celta de Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Malaga 11 · Racing Santander 11. Data saved: 2026-11-05 14:40 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Racing Santander 46% · 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.38
Model goal expectation · 2 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 60%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Malaga 1.38 · Racing Santander 1.60.
1 33% · X 24% · 2 43%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.2%
1:2 9%
0:1 8.2%
2:1 7.7%
1:0 7%
0:2 6.5%
2:2 6.2%
0:0 5.1%
2:0 4.8%
1:3 4.8%
3:1 3.5%
0:3 3.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Racing Santander Win
Probability 43%
Predicted Odds 2.33

Team Comparison

Malaga Racing Santander
20 League Position 16
5 Points 11
0% Win % 27%
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 2.64

Venue Form

Malaga at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
Racing Santander Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Malaga
L D L L D
Racing Santander
L D W L L

More La Liga Predictions

Sevilla FC vs Alavés
Fri 06 Nov Tip: 1 · 44%
Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 36%
Osasuna vs Athletic Club
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 62%
Valencia vs Real Madrid
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 81%

Related saved forecasts

Recorded before kickoff, with the original selection, model probability and timestamp. These cards are a saved-record selection, separate from the main catalogue filters.

All football predictions →

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Malaga

Team profile and available match context.

Explore →

Racing Santander

Team profile and available match context.

Explore →

La Liga

League table and competition context.

Explore →

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.