1
52%
Home Win
1.92
X
22%
Draw
4.5
2
26%
Away Win
3.89
xG Home
1.92
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Villarreal an expected 1.9 goals and Real Betis an expected 1.3 goals. Villarreal have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Real Betis at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10%
2:1
9.6%
1:0
7.7%
2:0
7.4%
1:2
6.5%
2:2
6.2%
3:1
6.1%
0:1
5.2%
3:0
4.7%
0:0
4%
3:2
4%
0:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Villarreal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Villarreal | Real Betis | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 5 |
| 72 | Points | 60 |
| 58% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Villarreal at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Real Betis Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Villarreal
L
L
W
W
Real Betis
D
W
