1
68%
Home Win
1.47
X
17%
Draw
5.72
2
14%
Away Win
7.05
xG Home
2.44
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Villarreal an expected 2.4 goals and Levante an expected 1.0 goals. Villarreal have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Levante at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.5%
2:0
9.3%
1:1
7.8%
3:1
7.8%
1:0
7.6%
3:0
7.5%
2:2
4.9%
4:1
4.7%
4:0
4.6%
1:2
4%
3:2
4%
0:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Villarreal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| Villarreal | Levante | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 16 |
| 72 | Points | 42 |
| 58% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
Venue Form
Villarreal at Home
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Levante Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Villarreal
L
L
L
W
W
Levante
D
W
L
D
