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Villarreal vs Getafe — Prediction

1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Villarreal
  • Villarreal 0–6 Paris Saint Germain
  • Villarreal 0–1 Espanyol
  • Valencia 1–2 Villarreal
  • Villarreal 0–0 Elche
  • Villarreal 3–1 Levante
Getafe
  • Getafe 0–1 Brighton
  • Getafe 3–1 Sevilla FC
  • Lebrijana 2–3 Getafe
  • Athletic Club 4–0 Getafe
  • Getafe 2–5 FC Lugano
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Villarreal 11 · Getafe 11. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Villarreal 58% · 2026-11-07 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.42
Model goal expectation · 2 0.61
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
BTTS 35%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Villarreal 1.42 · Getafe 0.61.
1 57% · X 27% · 2 16%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 18.6%
2:0 13.3%
0:0 13.1%
1:1 11.4%
2:1 8.1%
0:1 8%
3:0 6.3%
3:1 3.8%
1:2 3.5%
2:2 2.5%
0:2 2.4%
4:0 2.2%

About this assessment

Model outcome Villarreal Win
Probability 57%
Predicted Odds 1.75

Team Comparison

Villarreal Getafe
9 League Position 13
12 Points 12
27% Win % 27%
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45

Venue Form

Villarreal at Home
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate
Getafe Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Villarreal
L L W D W
Getafe
L W W L L

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.