1
38%
Home Win
2.61
X
24%
Draw
4.19
2
38%
Away Win
2.65
xG Home
1.56
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Valencia an expected 1.6 goals and Real Sociedad an expected 1.5 goals. Valencia have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Real Sociedad at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
8.4%
1:0
7%
0:1
6.9%
2:2
6.5%
2:0
5.5%
0:2
5.4%
0:0
4.5%
3:1
4.4%
1:3
4.3%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Valencia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Valencia | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 10 |
| 49 | Points | 46 |
| 34% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
Venue Form
Valencia at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Real Sociedad Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Valencia
L
D
L
W
Real Sociedad
W
D
L
D
