1
37%
Home Win
2.73
X
29%
Draw
3.43
2
34%
Away Win
2.93
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Valencia an expected 1.1 goals and Rayo Vallecano an expected 1.1 goals. Valencia have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Rayo Vallecano at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
1:0
12.5%
0:1
11.9%
0:0
11.1%
2:1
7.5%
1:2
7.2%
2:0
7%
0:2
6.4%
2:2
4%
3:1
2.8%
3:0
2.6%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Valencia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Valencia | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 8 |
| 49 | Points | 50 |
| 34% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
Venue Form
Valencia at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Rayo Vallecano Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Valencia
L
D
L
W
Rayo Vallecano
D
W
