1
33%
Home Win
3.02
X
26%
Draw
3.82
2
41%
Away Win
2.46
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Valencia an expected 1.2 goals and Celta de Vigo an expected 1.4 goals. Valencia have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Celta de Vigo at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
0:1
10.2%
1:0
9%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
7.6%
0:0
7.3%
0:2
7.1%
2:0
5.5%
2:2
5.3%
1:3
4%
0:3
3.3%
3:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Celta de Vigo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Valencia | Celta de Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 6 |
| 49 | Points | 54 |
| 34% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Valencia at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Celta de Vigo Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Valencia
D
L
W
Celta de Vigo
W
L
L
