1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.06
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Toluca an expected 2.1 goals and Atletico San Luis an expected 0.9 goals. Toluca have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Atletico San Luis at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11%
1:0
10.7%
2:1
9.9%
1:1
9.6%
3:0
7.6%
3:1
6.8%
0:0
5.2%
0:1
4.6%
2:2
4.4%
1:2
4.3%
4:0
3.9%
4:1
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Toluca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Toluca | Atletico San Luis | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 14 |
| 30 | Points | 18 |
| 47% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Toluca at Home
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
Atletico San Luis Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Toluca
L
L
L
W
W
Atletico San Luis
W
L
L
W
