U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Tigres UANL Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.67
xG Away 1.11
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 55%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.7 goals and Tigres UANL an expected 1.1 goals. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Tigres UANL at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.5%
1:0 10.3%
2:1 9.6%
2:0 8.6%
0:1 6.9%
1:2 6.4%
0:0 6.2%
2:2 5.3%
3:1 5.3%
3:0 4.8%
0:2 3.8%
3:2 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Tigres UANL
1 League Position 7
36 Points 25
59% Win % 41%
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06

Venue Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas at Home
W3 D1 L2 (6 games)
50% win rate
Tigres UANL Away
W0 D3 L3 (6 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L W L W D
Tigres UANL
L D L D D