1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.14
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
BTTS
29%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlas an expected 1.1 goals and Puebla an expected 0.5 goals. Atlas have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Puebla at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
21.1%
0:0
18.6%
2:0
12%
1:1
11.6%
0:1
10.2%
2:1
6.6%
3:0
4.5%
1:2
3.2%
0:2
2.8%
3:1
2.5%
2:2
1.8%
4:0
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atlas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Atlas | Puebla | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 17 |
| 26 | Points | 13 |
| 41% | Win % | 18% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Atlas at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Puebla Away
W2
D0
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Atlas
D
L
D
Puebla
L
W
L
W
L
