1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.02
xG Away
1.85
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monterrey an expected 1.0 goals and Guadalajara Chivas an expected 1.9 goals. Monterrey have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Guadalajara Chivas at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
0:1
10.5%
1:2
9.9%
0:2
9.7%
1:3
6.1%
0:3
6%
1:0
5.8%
0:0
5.6%
2:1
5.5%
2:2
5.1%
2:3
3.1%
2:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Guadalajara Chivas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Monterrey | Guadalajara Chivas | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 2 |
| 18 | Points | 36 |
| 29% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Monterrey at Home
W4
D1
L1
(6 games)
Guadalajara Chivas Away
W0
D3
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Monterrey
W
D
W
W
L
Guadalajara Chivas
D
D
L
D
