1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.69
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
BTTS
30%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.7 goals and FC Tokyo an expected 0.9 goals. Tokyo Verdy have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and FC Tokyo at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 79%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
20.4%
0:1
18.4%
1:0
14.1%
1:1
12.7%
0:2
8.3%
1:2
5.7%
2:0
4.8%
2:1
4.4%
0:3
2.5%
2:2
2%
1:3
1.7%
3:0
1.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Tokyo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Tokyo Verdy | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 11 |
| 43 | Points | 50 |
| 29% | Win % | 34% |
| 0.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Tokyo Verdy at Home
W4
D1
L1
(6 games)
FC Tokyo Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Tokyo Verdy
W
D
L
W
W
FC Tokyo
W
D
W
