1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.97
xG Away
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shimizu S-Pulse an expected 1.0 goals and Machida Zelvia an expected 1.4 goals. Shimizu S-Pulse have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Machida Zelvia at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13%
1:1
12.6%
0:2
9.2%
0:0
9.2%
1:2
9%
1:0
8.9%
2:1
6.1%
0:3
4.4%
2:2
4.4%
2:0
4.3%
1:3
4.2%
2:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Machida Zelvia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 6 |
| 44 | Points | 60 |
| 29% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Shimizu S-Pulse at Home
W2
D3
L2
(7 games)
Machida Zelvia Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
W
D
D
D
Machida Zelvia
D
W
D
W
