1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.41
xG Away
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shimizu S-Pulse an expected 1.4 goals and Gamba Osaka an expected 1.4 goals. Shimizu S-Pulse have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Gamba Osaka at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.7%
1:2
8.5%
0:1
8.3%
2:1
8.3%
1:0
8.1%
0:2
6%
2:2
6%
0:0
5.8%
2:0
5.7%
1:3
4.1%
3:1
3.9%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gamba Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 9 |
| 44 | Points | 57 |
| 29% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Shimizu S-Pulse at Home
W2
D3
L2
(7 games)
Gamba Osaka Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Shimizu S-Pulse
W
W
D
D
D
Gamba Osaka
L
W
L
L
