1
35%
Home Win
2.89
X
28%
Draw
3.52
2
37%
Away Win
2.7
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sevilla FC an expected 1.1 goals and Rayo Vallecano an expected 1.2 goals. Sevilla FC have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Rayo Vallecano at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
0:1
11.8%
1:0
11.3%
0:0
10.1%
1:2
7.8%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
6.9%
2:0
6.4%
2:2
4.4%
1:3
3%
3:1
2.8%
0:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Rayo Vallecano Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Sevilla FC | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 8 |
| 43 | Points | 50 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
Venue Form
Sevilla FC at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Rayo Vallecano Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Sevilla FC
W
W
Rayo Vallecano
D
W