1
41%
Home Win
2.43
X
26%
Draw
3.83
2
33%
Away Win
3.04
xG Home
1.40
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sevilla FC an expected 1.4 goals and Espanyol an expected 1.2 goals. Sevilla FC have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Espanyol at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
1:0
10.1%
0:1
8.8%
2:1
8.7%
1:2
7.6%
0:0
7.2%
2:0
7.1%
0:2
5.4%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
4.1%
3:0
3.3%
1:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sevilla FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Sevilla FC | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 11 |
| 43 | Points | 46 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Sevilla FC at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Espanyol Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Sevilla FC
W
W
Espanyol
L
L
Head to Head
Sevilla FC
0 : 1
Espanyol
L
Espanyol
2 : 1
Sevilla FC
L
Sevilla FC
1 : 1
Espanyol
D
