1
10%
Home Win
9.81
X
15%
Draw
6.8
2
75%
Away Win
1.33
xG Home
0.92
xG Away
2.71
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sevilla FC an expected 0.9 goals and Barcelona an expected 2.7 goals. Sevilla FC have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and Barcelona at 75%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
9.7%
1:2
9%
0:3
8.8%
1:3
8.1%
0:1
7.2%
1:1
6.6%
0:4
6%
1:4
5.5%
2:2
4.1%
2:3
3.7%
2:1
3%
0:0
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Barcelona Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 75% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.33 |
| Market Odds | 1.42 |
Team Comparison
| Sevilla FC | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 1 |
| 43 | Points | 94 |
| 32% | Win % | 82% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
Venue Form
Sevilla FC at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Barcelona Away
W5
D0
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
Sevilla FC
W
W
Barcelona
W
W
W
W
W
