1
24%
Home Win
4.15
X
23%
Draw
4.27
2
53%
Away Win
1.9
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
1.77
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sevilla FC an expected 1.1 goals and Atlético Madrid an expected 1.8 goals. Sevilla FC have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Atlético Madrid at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
0:1
9.8%
1:2
9.7%
0:2
8.7%
1:0
6.2%
2:1
6.2%
1:3
5.8%
0:0
5.5%
2:2
5.5%
0:3
5.1%
2:0
3.5%
2:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atlético Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Sevilla FC | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 4 |
| 43 | Points | 69 |
| 32% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
Venue Form
Sevilla FC at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Atlético Madrid Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sevilla FC
W
W
Atlético Madrid
W
W
L
L
