Santos Laguna vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction

0 – 3
Most Likely Score
Thu, 22 Oct 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.93
xG Away 3.02
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
BTTS 57%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos Laguna an expected 0.9 goals and U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 3.0 goals. Santos Laguna have a 8% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 79%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 75%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:3 8.9%
0:2 8.8%
1:3 8.2%
1:2 8.2%
0:4 6.7%
1:4 6.2%
0:1 5.8%
1:1 5.4%
2:3 3.8%
2:2 3.8%
2:4 2.9%
2:1 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Santos Laguna Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Santos Laguna U.N.A.M. - Pumas
18 League Position 1
12 Points 36
18% Win % 59%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 2
2.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Santos Laguna at Home
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Away
W3 D3 L2 (8 games)
38% win rate

Recent Form

Santos Laguna
W W W L
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
D L W D L

Head to Head

31 Jan 2026 Liga MX
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4 : 0 Santos Laguna
L
13 Jul 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna 3 : 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L
17 Apr 2025 Liga MX
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2 : 0 Santos Laguna
L