1
46%
Home Win
2.17
X
29%
Draw
3.46
2
25%
Away Win
3.99
xG Home
1.27
xG Away
0.86
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santa Clara an expected 1.3 goals and Rio Ave FC an expected 0.9 goals. Santa Clara have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Rio Ave FC at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.1%
1:1
13%
0:0
11.9%
0:1
10.2%
2:0
9.6%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
5.6%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4.1%
2:2
3.5%
3:1
3.5%
1:3
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Santa Clara Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Santa Clara | Rio Ave FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 12 |
| 36 | Points | 36 |
| 26% | Win % | 24% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Santa Clara at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Rio Ave FC Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Santa Clara
W
W
W
Rio Ave FC
L
