1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.59
xG Away
1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives GIL Vicente an expected 0.6 goals and FC Porto an expected 1.5 goals. GIL Vicente have a 15% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and FC Porto at 59%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
18.6%
0:2
13.9%
0:0
12.4%
1:1
10.9%
1:2
8.2%
1:0
7.3%
0:3
6.9%
1:3
4.1%
2:1
3.2%
0:4
2.6%
2:2
2.4%
2:0
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Porto Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| GIL Vicente | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 1 |
| 50 | Points | 88 |
| 38% | Win % | 82% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.53 |
Venue Form
GIL Vicente at Home
W2
D0
L3
(5 games)
FC Porto Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
GIL Vicente
L
L
W
L
W
FC Porto
L
W
L
