1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.93
xG Away
1.72
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nacional an expected 0.9 goals and SC Braga an expected 1.7 goals. Nacional have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and SC Braga at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.2%
1:1
11.3%
0:2
10.5%
1:2
9.7%
0:0
7.1%
1:0
6.6%
0:3
6%
1:3
5.6%
2:1
5.2%
2:2
4.5%
2:0
3%
2:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SC Braga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Nacional | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 4 |
| 34 | Points | 59 |
| 26% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Nacional at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
SC Braga Away
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Nacional
L
W
SC Braga
D
L
D
L
W
