1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Estrela da Amadora an expected 1.5 goals and Casa Pia AC an expected 1.0 goals. Estrela da Amadora have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Casa Pia AC at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
11.8%
2:1
9.3%
2:0
8.9%
0:1
8.1%
0:0
7.8%
1:2
6.4%
2:2
4.8%
3:1
4.7%
3:0
4.5%
0:2
4.2%
3:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Estrela da Amadora Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Estrela da Amadora | Casa Pia AC | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 16 |
| 30 | Points | 30 |
| 18% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Estrela da Amadora at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Casa Pia AC Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Estrela da Amadora
L
W
D
L
W
Casa Pia AC
W
D
W
L
L
