1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.84
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Estoril an expected 1.8 goals and Moreirense an expected 1.3 goals. Estoril have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Moreirense at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
2:1
9.6%
1:0
8.3%
2:0
7.6%
1:2
6.6%
2:2
6.1%
3:1
5.9%
0:1
5.7%
3:0
4.7%
0:0
4.5%
3:2
3.7%
0:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Estoril Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Estoril | Moreirense | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 7 |
| 39 | Points | 43 |
| 29% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Estoril at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Moreirense Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Estoril
L
D
L
Moreirense
D
L
L
