1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima an expected 1.1 goals and Kyoto Sanga an expected 0.9 goals. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Kyoto Sanga at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.4%
1:1
13.4%
0:0
12.5%
0:1
11.6%
2:0
8.3%
2:1
7.7%
1:2
6.2%
0:2
5.4%
2:2
3.6%
3:0
3.2%
3:1
2.9%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Kyoto Sanga | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 68 | Points | 68 |
| 53% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima at Home
W5
D1
L0
(6 games)
Kyoto Sanga Away
W2
D2
L4
(8 games)
Recent Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
W
W
D
W
Kyoto Sanga
D
W
L
W
L
