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Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano — Prediction

Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
2 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · La Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 15:15 UTC
Competition
La Liga
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad 1–1 Lyon
  • Athletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante
  • Malaga 2–5 Real Sociedad
  • Real Sociedad 3–2 Deportivo La Coruña
Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta de Vigo
  • Rayo Vallecano 0–3 Elche
  • Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
  • Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano
  • Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Real Sociedad 11 · Rayo Vallecano 10. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Real Sociedad 53% · 2026-11-07 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.61
Model goal expectation · 2 1.68
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
BTTS 75%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Real Sociedad 2.61 · Rayo Vallecano 1.68.
1 58% · X 18% · 2 24%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 7.8%
3:1 6.8%
2:2 6.6%
1:1 6%
3:2 5.7%
1:2 5%
2:0 4.7%
4:1 4.5%
3:0 4.1%
4:2 3.7%
2:3 3.7%
1:0 3.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome Real Sociedad Win
Probability 58%
Predicted Odds 1.72

Team Comparison

Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano
5 League Position 12
19 Points 12
55% Win % 30%
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 2

Venue Form

Real Sociedad at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Rayo Vallecano Away
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Real Sociedad
D L W W W
Rayo Vallecano
W L D D W

More La Liga Predictions

Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 1 · 36%
Malaga vs Racing Santander
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 43%
Osasuna vs Athletic Club
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 62%
Valencia vs Real Madrid
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 81%
Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 2 · 45%

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.