1
50%
Home Win
1.99
X
23%
Draw
4.33
2
27%
Away Win
3.77
xG Home
1.80
xG Away
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Sociedad an expected 1.8 goals and Espanyol an expected 1.2 goals. Real Sociedad have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Espanyol at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
2:1
9.6%
1:0
8.5%
2:0
7.7%
1:2
6.6%
2:2
6%
0:1
5.9%
3:1
5.8%
0:0
4.7%
3:0
4.6%
0:2
3.7%
3:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Sociedad Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Real Sociedad | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 11 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Real Sociedad at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Espanyol Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Real Sociedad
D
L
Espanyol
L
L
