1
39%
Home Win
2.58
X
24%
Draw
4.2
2
37%
Away Win
2.68
xG Home
1.57
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Sociedad an expected 1.6 goals and Celta de Vigo an expected 1.5 goals. Real Sociedad have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Celta de Vigo at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
8.3%
1:0
7%
0:1
6.9%
2:2
6.5%
2:0
5.5%
0:2
5.3%
0:0
4.5%
3:1
4.4%
1:3
4.3%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Sociedad Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Real Sociedad | Celta de Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 6 |
| 46 | Points | 54 |
| 29% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Real Sociedad at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Celta de Vigo Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Real Sociedad
D
L
Celta de Vigo
W
L
L